Villarreal vs Getafe prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 8 November

Villarreal host Getafe in LaLiga on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Ceramica (Villarreal). Villarreal are 8th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Getafe are 12th with 12.

Who will win Villarreal vs Getafe?

The model makes Villarreal clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 23% and Getafe at 15%. Megapari's 1.53 on Villarreal is shorter than our fair price of 1.59: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Villarreal to win (63%) and Villarreal or draw (85%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 1 November 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Villarreal vs Getafe

Expected goals are 1.8 for Villarreal and 0.8 for Getafe, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.

Villarreal vs Getafe correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 2-0 (13%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Villarreal and Getafe in their last five

Villarreal have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Getafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Villarreal: last five matches

Getafe: last five matches

Villarreal vs Getafe head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Villarreal won 2, Getafe won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Getafe 2–1 Villarreal.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Villarreal has shortened from 1.71 to 1.53 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 1.89, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.