Accumulator tips: today's 2, 3 and 5 odds slips, and how to check every leg

Acca tip to 2 odds, today

1. Simba – Young Africans: Under 3.5 @1.22
2. Inverness – Stenhousemuir: Under 3.5 @1.22
3. Obolon Kyiv – Kryvbas: Over 1.5 @1.35

Total odds: 2.01 · Probability: 60%

Combined odds are the product of the individual odds. An accumulator loses if any one selection loses.

These are the day's acca tips: three slips, aimed at total odds of 2, 3 and 5, built by one rule from one pool of legs. The model keeps its own tips rated at 70% or higher and finds the combination that reaches each target with the fewest legs. Every slip shows its combined probability, which is how often a slip like it should land. No accumulator is ever certain, and on most days at least one of the three loses. Betting is for adults aged 18+ only.

• Acca tips
• 2 odds
• 5 odds
• Banker

One pool of legs, three targets

Every leg is a tip already on the site: match result, double chance, over 1.5, over or under 2.5, under 3.5 or both teams to score, and one leg per match at most. The builder tries two legs, then three, and stops at the first size that reaches the target, keeping the most probable slip of that size. The 2 odds slip may use up to four legs, the 3 odds slip five and the 5 odds slip eight. When nothing reaches the target inside that limit, the slip stays empty. Because all three draw on one pool, they often share legs.

Acca tip to 3 odds, today

1. Simba – Young Africans: Under 3.5 @1.22
2. Obolon Kyiv – Kryvbas: Over 1.5 @1.35
3. Bradford City – Leyton Orient: Under 3.5 @1.33
4. Bohemians 1905 Prague – Baník Ostrava: Under 3.5 @1.38

Total odds: 3.02 · Probability: 44%

Combined odds are the product of the individual odds. An accumulator loses if any one selection loses.

Which of the three to play

At prices close to fair, the three slips are worth about the same in the long run: the 2 odds slip should land around half the time, the 3 odds slip around a third, the 5 odds slip around a fifth, and the bookmaker's margin pulls each figure a little lower. What differs is how the losses arrive. With the 2 odds slip a bad week is two or three red days; with the 5 odds slip, seven losing days in a row are an ordinary run. Pick the slip whose losing runs you can sit through at a stake that does not hurt.

Playing all three does not spread the risk: they share legs, so one bad result can sink several at once.

A quick value check: divide 1 by the total odds in your app. A slip at 3.10 with a printed 36% chance pays more than the model thinks it is worth, since 1 ÷ 3.10 is about 32%.

Acca tip to 5 odds, today

1. Simba – Young Africans: Under 3.5 @1.22
2. KS Cracovia – Zaglebie Lubin: Under 3.5 @1.28
3. Port Vale – Grimsby Town: Under 3.5 @1.27
4. Obolon Kyiv – Kryvbas: Over 1.5 @1.35
5. Bohemians 1905 Prague – Baník Ostrava: Under 3.5 @1.38
6. Austria Wien – Sturm Graz: Under 3.5 @1.36

Total odds: 5.02 · Probability: 29%

Combined odds are the product of the individual odds. An accumulator loses if any one selection loses.

Check a slip in two minutes

1. Prices. A leg shows the bookmaker's price where our odds feed has one and the model's fair odds where it does not, so your app's total may differ. Enter your own prices in the accumulator calculator.
2. Kick-offs. Times are in East Africa Time; Nigeria is two hours behind and Ghana three.
3. Team news. The model sees scores and, where available, the market, not line-ups. A leg that leans on a player just ruled out is weaker than its number.
4. Competitions. Several legs from one league on one day are not fully independent, so the true joint chance can be a little lower.
5. Swap, do not add. If a leg fails a check, replace it with a tip of similar probability from the prediction for today.

Tomorrow's 2 odds slip, first draft

1. River Plate Buenos Aires – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: Home or draw @1.06
2. Calcio Padova – Carrarese: Under 3.5 @1.33
3. Rheindorf Altach – Wolfsberger: Under 3.5 @1.45

Total odds: 2.04 · Probability: 58%

Combined odds are the product of the individual odds. An accumulator loses if any one selection loses.

Tomorrow's slip is a plan: the data refreshes several times before its first kick-off, and a leg can drop under 70% or be overtaken. Look at it again before you bet. For the single strongest tips of the day, with no slip around them, see the banker of the day page.

How we pick, and how slips settle

The legs come from the Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model on the methodology page, blended with the bookmaker's odds for the match result, over/under 2.5 and GG where those odds are available. A slip settles leg by leg on the 90-minute scores: a postponed leg is void and drops out, and the slip wins only if no leg loses. The track record counts the single tips behind the legs; slips are logged too but not summarised there yet. For the short and long slips told in depth, see sure 2 odds and 5 sure odds. Any bet can lose, so stake only money you can afford to lose and set limits through the responsible gambling page.

Settled single tips, last 30 days

Tips

190

Won

138

Lost

52

Hit rate

73%

Market	Tips	Won	Hit rate	Profit at listed odds (1 unit stakes)
Match result (1X2)	39	27	69%	-0.19
Double chance	35	33	94%	+0.50
Over/Under 1.5 goals	30	23	77%	-4.69
Over/Under 2.5 goals	24	14	58%	-4.84
Over/Under 3.5 goals	36	32	89%	+2.63
Both teams to score	26	9	35%	-13.17

Every tip is logged before kick-off and settled automatically from the final score. Nothing is edited after the match.