Basketball handicap predictions: today's line tips, with our chance of each side covering
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Last 30 days: 85 tips, 58 won (68%) Basketball
Today's basketball handicap predictions
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P.A.O.K.Ratiopharm UlmEuroCupRatiopharm Ulm +15.558%fair 1.73
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DerthonaBurgosEuroCupBurgos +4.557%fair 1.75
Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 05:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
This page keeps one basketball market: the handicap, which American sites call the spread. For every game we follow, the bookmaker sets a main line meant to split the money evenly, and we give our chance that each side covers it; a tip needs 56%. The games come from every competition in our basketball predictions, NBA to Basketball Africa League, refreshed four times a day.
How to read a handicap tip
A tip names a team and a line. "Team −5.5" wins only if that team wins by six points or more; "Team +5.5" wins if it wins outright or loses by five or fewer. Overtime counts. Next to it are our probability, the fair odds (1 divided by the probability) and, where Megapari prices the game, its price at our last refresh.
When our chance of the home side covering falls to 44% or below, the tip goes to the visitors with the opposite line. A 57% tip has fair odds of about 1.75: a longer price on the same line pays more than the model's figure, a shorter one pays less.
Our chance belongs to one line only
The line in the table is the bookmaker's main line at our last refresh: of the handicaps it offers, the pair priced closest to even money. Apps also list alternative lines a few points either side, and we price none of them. Lines also move before tip-off. Say the table shows a favourite at −3.5 and your app now has −5.5: the favourite has to win by six rather than four, and the tip you see is no longer ours. The arithmetic for settling any line by hand is in the basketball handicap calculator section of the main basketball page.
Basketball handicap predictions for tomorrow
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Bayern MunichDubaiEuroLeagueBayern Munich +458%fair 1.72
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Maccabi Tel AvivReal Madrid BaloncestoEuroLeagueMaccabi Tel Aviv +5.557%fair 1.77
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PanathinaikosSaski BaskoniaEuroLeagueSaski Baskonia +15.558%fair 1.73
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KK PartizanCrvena ZvezdaEuroLeagueKK Partizan +157%fair 1.77
Odds: Megapari, as of 21 October 2026, 05:07 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Why 56%, and why so few tips
A main line makes both sides close to a coin toss, so anything well above 50% disagrees with the price. Our published margin is 40% model and 60% the bookmaker's handicap, which pulls every chance towards the middle. With both sides priced about evenly, the model on its own has to see the game roughly four to six points differently from the line before one side reaches 56%. Most games never get there.
Two rules hold more tips back. A team needs eight games in the last year before it has a rating, and its games, marked "from the odds", get no tip. Handicap tips also wait until both teams have played five games of the current season, so this page stays short in the first weeks of every new season.
Every basketball game today, with the handicap line and our chance
| Game | 1 | 2 | Projected score | Handicap | Total points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers – New York KnicksFT 106-100 · NBA | 40% | 60% | 108–111 | – | – |
| New York Knicks – Philadelphia 76ers · awaiting result · NBA | 65% | 35% | 117–111 | −4.554% | 232over 42% |
| San Antonio Spurs – Oklahoma City ThunderLive · NBA | 55% | 45% | 116–114 | −152% | 231.5over 46% |
| Tasmania JackJumpers – Brisbane Bullets · NBL (Australia) | 74% | 26% | 98–88 | −1050% | 188over 46% |
| Taurage – Rytas Vilnius · LKL (Lithuania) · from the odds | 16% | 84% | 82–94 | +11.550% | 175.5over 50% |
| AEK Athens – Antwerp Giants · Basketball Champions League · from the odds | 64% | 36% | 87–83 | −4.550% | 170.5over 50% |
| U-BT Cluj-Napoca – London Lions · EuroCup | 68% | 32% | 89–83 | −6.550% | 173.5over 46% |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv – Virtus Granarolo Bologna · EuroLeague | 75% | 25% | 91–83 | −849% | 175over 47% |
| Bnei Herzliya – Porto · Basketball Champions League · from the odds | 61% | 39% | 86–83 | −3.550% | 169.5over 50% |
| Cedevita Olimpija – Le Mans Sarthe · EuroCup | 59% | 41% | 84–81 | −2.552% | 164.5over 53% |
| Derthona – Burgos · EuroCup | 56% | 44% | 87–85 | −4.543% | 173over 50% |
| Niners Chemnitz – Slask Wroclaw · EuroCup | 68% | 32% | 89–82 | −7.547% | 170over 53% |
| P.A.O.K. – Ratiopharm Ulm · EuroCup | 82% | 18% | 91–78 | −15.542% | 167.5over 54% |
| KK Bosna – Bahcesehir Koleji · EuroCup | 25% | 75% | 78–88 | +10.554% | 166.5over 49% |
| JL Bourg – Aquila Trento · EuroCup | 67% | 33% | 87–81 | −651% | 167.5over 50% |
| Skyliners Frankfurt – La Laguna Tenerife · EuroCup | 24% | 76% | 80–89 | +8.547% | 169.5over 49% |
| FIATC Joventut Badalona – Telekom Bonn · Basketball Champions League | 81% | 19% | 88–77 | −1053% | 166.5over 46% |
| Reggio Emilia – Juventus Utena · Basketball Champions League | 77% | 23% | 88–79 | −8.551% | 167over 52% |
| Hapoel Jerusalem – Rigas Zelli · EuroCup · from the odds | 91% | 9% | 94–75 | −1950% | 169.5over 50% |
| Napoli Basket – Tofas · EuroCup | 62% | 38% | 87–83 | −4.549% | 168.5over 53% |
| Maxima Roma – Reyer Venezia Mestre · EuroCup · from the odds | 46% | 54% | 86–87 | +1.550% | 173.5over 50% |
1 and 2 are each team's chance to win the game, overtime included. Handicap: the bookmaker's main line for the home team and our chance that the home team covers it. Total: the bookmaker's main points line and our chance that the game goes over it. Rows marked “from the odds” involve a team with too few recent games for our ratings: their numbers are the bookmaker's prices with the margin removed.
The handicap column in the full table
The column is read from the home side: the home team's line, then our chance that it covers. Bold marks a tipped game, and a home figure of 41% is a 59% chance for the visitors. Times are in East Africa Time, converted to your phone's clock; Nigeria is two hours behind EAT, Ghana three. The NBA alone is on NBA predictions.
How we pick, and how the tips have done
The model and its blend with the bookmaker's lines are set out on basketball predictions; the methodology page covers the logging rules both sports share, and handicap in betting explains plus and minus lines. Scores are the only input, so check team news before tip-off.
The record below counts handicap tips alone. Each is logged before tip-off and settled from the final score, overtime included; a margin exactly on a whole-number line is void. If our chances are right, tips rated 56% to 60% win a little more often than they lose over many games, and a month of tips can swing well either side of that. Basketball is kept apart from the football track record.
Basketball handicap tips settled over the last 30 days
- Tips
- 15
- Won
- 6
- Lost
- 9
- Hit rate
- 40%
Basketball tips are logged before tip-off and settled automatically from the final score, overtime included. A handicap or total that lands exactly on the line is void. They are counted on their own, apart from the football record.
Before you bet
Betting is for adults aged 18+. Any handicap bet can lose, however clear the chance looks. Fix your stake first and never chase a loss; the responsible gambling page lists the limits you can set. Several handicaps on one slip multiply the risk, as the accumulator calculator shows.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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Frequently asked questions
What is a basketball handicap prediction here?
Our chance that one team covers the bookmaker's main handicap line for that game, overtime included. Every game with a priced line gets that chance in the full table; it becomes a tip only when one side reaches 56%.
Where are today's basketball spread predictions?
In the first table on this page, with tomorrow's below it. Dates follow East Africa Time, so NBA games played after midnight in Nairobi usually sit under the next day.
Which are the best basketball handicap tips?
The ones with the highest chance on a line that has not moved since our last refresh. Even then, a 60% tip is expected to lose about four times in ten, so no handicap tip is a safe bet. We do not rank other sites; judge ours by the record on this page.
Do you give NBA handicap predictions?
Yes, NBA games are in these tables alongside the other competitions. Handicap tips wait until both teams have played five games of the season, so the first NBA ones appear a couple of weeks after the start. The NBA on its own is on our NBA predictions page.
Why is there no handicap tip for the game I want?
Either our chance sits below 56% for both sides, a team has too few recent games for a rating, the season is too young, or the bookmaker has not priced a handicap for that game yet. No line means no tip.
Is a handicap tip still valid if the line has moved?
Not as published. Our chance is worked out for the exact line in the table. If your app now shows a bigger handicap for the favourite, its real chance of covering is lower than ours; if it shows a smaller one, it is higher.